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윤성학(Yoon, Seong Hak) 고려대학교 러시아 CIS연구소 2019 Acta Russiana Vol.11 No.-
The purpose of this paper is to examine the global energy market that has caused the rise of LNG and to predict future global energy market changes. The global LNG market has undergone structural changes since 2017. With the participation of the United States and Russia, LNG production is expanding significantly, and oversupply is expected in the future. Although China and other Asian markets, which are leading LNG imports, are the largest importers, there will be no explosive demand growth in the past. LNG importing countries can not afford the current supply in the long run. The long-term victim of the LNG market is likely to be the United States. The United States is hampering the entry of Russian gas into Asian markets to increase domestic LNG exports. The LNG market confrontation between Russia and the US can not be avoided. If LNG is oversupplied, US LNG costly transportation costs will be damaged. Russia regards LNG as the core of next-generation resources and is making national efforts. Russia has succeeded in the YAMAL project in the midst of Western sanctions and is preparing for a large-scale LNG development project in the future. The advantages of Russia are geographical advantages. Russia can also trade in PNG if LNG is not available. Russia s weakness is subject to Western sanctions, so large-scale external financing is inadequate. In addition, it has constraints such as possibility of additional cost due to overlapping investment with PNG, instability of Arctic route, lack of LNG development technology. Russia is pushing for government deregulation and support policies to break through these difficulties.
윤익중,Maxim Nazarov 한국외국어대학교(글로벌캠퍼스) 동유럽발칸연구소 2022 동유럽발칸연구 Vol.46 No.4
The paper investigates mainly the financial aspects of the Arctic energy projects, as well as the strategic analysis of Russo-Chinese interest in the region. Therefore, the main purpose of this paper is to review the increasing interdependence of the relevant policies of the two countries and the growing Chinese involvement in Russian LNG megaprojects. China-Russia economic and political relationships have many facets, and collaboration in the LNG area is a vivid example of how cooperation between the two nations is built. While Beijing was interested in supplies from the northern neighbor for decades, the economic relationship strengthened when China included Russian LNG projects in the BRI. The project finance framework was chosen to analyze the ongoing Sino-Russian efforts to deliver Yamal LNG and Arctic LNG 2 integrated plants. According to the framework, four areas, namely equity, debt, contracts, and offtakes, are shaped by the efforts of China and Russia. While cooperation in some areas is seamless and mutually beneficial, the results in other ones are less straightforward.
한국의 러시아 북극개발 협력 가능성 모색: 일본과 한국의 대러시아 정책 비교분석을 중심으로
백영준 ( Baek Young Jun ) 배재대학교 한국-시베리아센터 2021 한국시베리아연구 Vol.25 No.3
Russia has already been subject to western economic sanctions for the seventh year since the Ukrainian crisis in 2014. America and EU’s economic sanctions have hindered Russia's Arctic development, and existing state-led development plans have turned to Arctic development through an international consortium, the first result: Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug's ‘Yamal LNG Project’. At the same time, the region is currently the center of the NSR and Arctic development, which is of great interest to the international community, but the strategic and policy directions of Republic of Korea, China and Japan associated with the region. they have different directions. In this paper, we will examine how Japan free participates in the development of Russia’s Arctic development, and compare and analyze Republic of Korea’s policy toward Russia from multifaceted analysis.
윤성학,김영진 한국동북아경제학회 2021 동북아경제연구 Vol.33 No.2
This paper identifies how Joseph Biden’s energy policy will affect Russia in the next four years after 2021. Russia relies on oil and natural gas exports for most of its national budget, overall export revenues and GDP, which would be economically challenged if Biden’s eco-friendly energy policy lowers oil price and reduces foreign investment in Russia’s energy sector. Russia is focusing on developing LNG gas fields rather than actively accepting the transition to renewable energy and carbon neutrality, regionally, expanding Asian markets such as China rather than Europe, and Russia’s energy giants are not actively responding to energy transformation. Moreover, Western sanctions have led Russia to increasingly rely on Chinese capital, which has accelerated cooperation between Russia and China and made the U.S. strategy difficult. The Biden administration is trying to lift some of the Russian sanctions to widen and neutralize Russia and China. To this end, the U.S. lifted sanctions on the stalled Nord stream-2 gas pipeline. If the U.S. makes concessions on sanctions against Russia, cooperation with South Korea in Northeast Asia is also expected. If Western sanctions against Russia are lifted to a certain extent, it will be possible to create a new mega-cooperation project between South Korea and Russia in Northeast Asia.